THE TABLE CHANGES.
THEN THE MONEY DOES.
Remove City's league results. Rebuild every table. Then follow the financial consequences we can actually measure.
Across Premier League position money, European qualification and one genuine relegation reversal.
Position-linked central distributions
26 qualification changes
Blackpool's 2010/11 survival effect
Follow the money.
Central-case totals determine the order. European effects are shown as a conservative-to-central range.
| Club | PL £ | European changes | Europe £ | Relegation £ | Total £ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal | £38.8m | 3× Europa → Champions League · 1× No Europe → Europa League | £95.8m–£156.7m | — | £134.6m–£195.5m |
 Tottenham Hotspur | £19.9m | 5× Europa → Champions League · 1× No Europe → Conference League | £112.4m–£155.1m | — | £132.3m–£175.0m |
 West Ham United | £31.9m | Europa → Champions League · Conference → Europa League | £59.8m–£81.9m | — | £91.7m–£113.7m |
 Chelsea | £23.2m | Europa → Champions League · Conference → Europa League | £65.3m–£65.4m | — | £88.4m–£88.6m |
 Leicester City | £13.5m | Europa → Champions League · No Europe → Conference League | £45.8m–£67.9m | — | £59.3m–£81.4m |
 Aston Villa | £24.2m | Conference → Europa League · Europa → Champions League | £36.0m–£53.6m | — | £60.2m–£77.9m |
 Liverpool | £20.3m | No Europe → Europa League · Europa → Champions League | £11.2m–£47.9m | — | £31.5m–£68.2m |
 Manchester United | £17.2m | Europa → Champions League | £30.2m–£42.6m | — | £47.5m–£59.8m |
 Everton | £32.5m | Europa → Champions League | £18.6m–£21.7m | — | £51.1m–£54.2m |
 Newcastle United | £24.8m | No Europe → Conference League | £13.5m | — | £38.3m |
 Brighton and Hove Albion | £17.7m | No Europe → Conference League | £13.5m | — | £31.2m |
| —Sheffield United | £11.3m | No Europe → Europa League | £13.7m–£16.1m | — | £25.0m–£27.4m |
| —Nottingham Forest | £8.6m | Conference → Europa League | £17.7m | — | £26.2m |
 Blackpool | £2.3m | — | — | £23.6m | £25.9m |
 Burnley | £22.2m | — | — | — | £22.2m |
 Fulham | £21.1m | — | — | — | £21.1m |
 Crystal Palace | £20.2m | — | — | — | £20.2m |
 Southampton | £19.2m | — | — | — | £19.2m |
 Watford | £17.4m | — | — | — | £17.4m |
 West Bromwich Albion | £17.2m | — | — | — | £17.2m |
 AFC Bournemouth | £16.1m | — | — | — | £16.1m |
 Wolverhampton Wanderers | £15.5m | — | — | — | £15.5m |
| —Brentford | £15.4m | — | — | — | £15.4m |
 Stoke City | £13.6m | — | — | — | £13.6m |
 Swansea City | £8.4m | — | — | — | £8.4m |
 Norwich City | £7.7m | — | — | — | £7.7m |
 Hull City | £7.7m | — | — | — | £7.7m |
 Queens Park Rangers | £4.0m | — | — | — | £4.0m |
 Wigan Athletic | £3.8m | — | — | — | £3.8m |
 Bolton Wanderers | £3.8m | — | — | — | £3.8m |
 Cardiff City | £3.2m | — | — | — | £3.2m |
 Blackburn Rovers | £3.1m | — | — | — | £3.1m |
| —Leeds United | £3.0m | — | — | — | £3.0m |
| —Luton Town | £2.8m | — | — | — | £2.8m |
| —Ipswich Town | £2.7m | — | — | — | £2.7m |
| TOTAL MODELLED EFFECT | £520.0m | 26 changes | £533.6m–£753.7m | £23.6m | £1.077bn–£1.297bn |
- Premier League
- £38.8m
- Europe
- £95.8m–£156.7m
3× Europa → Champions League · 1× No Europe → Europa League
- Premier League
- £19.9m
- Europe
- £112.4m–£155.1m
5× Europa → Champions League · 1× No Europe → Conference League
- Premier League
- £31.9m
- Europe
- £59.8m–£81.9m
Europa → Champions League · Conference → Europa League
- Premier League
- £23.2m
- Europe
- £65.3m–£65.4m
Europa → Champions League · Conference → Europa League
- Premier League
- £13.5m
- Europe
- £45.8m–£67.9m
Europa → Champions League · No Europe → Conference League
- Premier League
- £24.2m
- Europe
- £36.0m–£53.6m
Conference → Europa League · Europa → Champions League
- Premier League
- £20.3m
- Europe
- £11.2m–£47.9m
No Europe → Europa League · Europa → Champions League
- Premier League
- £17.2m
- Europe
- £30.2m–£42.6m
Europa → Champions League
- Premier League
- £32.5m
- Europe
- £18.6m–£21.7m
Europa → Champions League
- Premier League
- £24.8m
- Europe
- £13.5m
No Europe → Conference League
- Premier League
- £17.7m
- Europe
- £13.5m
No Europe → Conference League
- Premier League
- £11.3m
- Europe
- £13.7m–£16.1m
No Europe → Europa League
- Premier League
- £8.6m
- Europe
- £17.7m
Conference → Europa League
- Premier League
- £2.3m
- Relegation
- £23.6m
- Premier League
- £22.2m
- Premier League
- £21.1m
- Premier League
- £20.2m
- Premier League
- £19.2m
- Premier League
- £17.4m
- Premier League
- £17.2m
- Premier League
- £16.1m
- Premier League
- £15.5m
- Premier League
- £15.4m
- Premier League
- £13.6m
- Premier League
- £8.4m
- Premier League
- £7.7m
- Premier League
- £7.7m
- Premier League
- £4.0m
- Premier League
- £3.8m
- Premier League
- £3.8m
- Premier League
- £3.2m
- Premier League
- £3.1m
- Premier League
- £3.0m
- Premier League
- £2.8m
- Premier League
- £2.7m
Three calculations.
Nothing more.
Premier League position
Remove City's matches and rebuild the table. When a club changes position, apply the actual value of a finishing place for that season.
Europe
When the new position changes European qualification, compare actual UEFA distributions to English clubs. We show a lower-to-central range rather than pretending we know exactly how far a club would have gone.
Relegation
Only count a club if it genuinely crosses the survival line. Blackpool are the only charged-period case: 19th becomes 16th. Their identifiable effect is £23.6m.
We don't try to price everything.
Ticket sales, sponsorship, commercial growth, player values, transfers, wages, managerial changes and the long-term consequences of playing in a different competition are excluded. These are the financial effects we can identify and model consistently — not everything that might have happened.
Read the full methodology
The No-City league contains 19 clubs. The bottom three — 17th, 18th and 19th — are relegated. European values use comparable English non-winning UEFA distributions and season-average EUR→GBP conversion. The relegation calculation uses the following season's 20th-place Premier League central distribution less the club's actual first-year parachute payment.
Full methodology & sourcesThe figures show identifiable financial consequences under one counterfactual model. They do not state that any club is legally owed these amounts.